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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.5 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar 3–0 NAC Breda | 1.24–0.36 | 59% · 30% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Telstar |
| Heerenveen 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.27–0.83 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Heracles 1–3 PSV Eindhoven | 1.22–3.26 | 11% · 13% · 77% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard | 1.46–2.45 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| PEC Zwolle 0–0 Ajax | 1.20–0.35 | 58% · 31% · 11% | Draw against the xG: PEC Zwolle had 58% |
| FC Volendam 3–2 Groningen | 2.38–4.16 | 18% · 13% · 69% | Won against the xG: FC Volendam |
| Twente 2–0 Feyenoord | 1.18–0.88 | 43% · 30% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Utrecht 2–0 AZ Alkmaar | 1.19–0.76 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Excelsior 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.86–0.43 | 72% · 20% · 8% | Won against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.