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9 of 9 matches with xG: 39 goals from 26.8 xG (1.45 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 PEC Zwolle | 2.23–1.07 | 64% · 19% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam had 64% |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Feyenoord | 0.74–1.11 | 24% · 32% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven | 1.99–2.55 | 31% · 19% · 51% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Willem II 0–3 Excelsior | 0.86–1.60 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| Groningen 2–2 Twente | 1.48–2.30 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 56% |
| Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar | 1.48–1.04 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Won against the xG: AZ Alkmaar |
| Telstar 2–2 Cambuur | 2.12–0.98 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Telstar had 64% |
| ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna Sittard | 0.48–0.55 | 25% · 46% · 29% | Close call, Fortuna Sittard won |
| Utrecht 3–3 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.47–1.79 | 53% · 19% · 28% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.