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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 31.9 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II | 2.48–0.93 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 71% |
| Twente 2–0 ADO Den Haag | 2.81–0.54 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 Groningen | 2.23–0.16 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles had 85% |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax | 0.71–4.13 | 3% · 5% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Cambuur 3–0 NEC Nijmegen | 3.12–0.93 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Cambuur |
| Excelsior 1–2 Utrecht | 0.61–1.42 | 16% · 27% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Heerenveen 0–0 Telstar | 1.54–0.71 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 57% |
| PEC Zwolle 0–7 Feyenoord | 0.19–3.40 | 1% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 3.75–2.29 | 65% · 14% · 21% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.