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9 of 9 matches with xG: 42 goals from 35.7 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior | 2.80–0.72 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven | 1.43–1.07 | 45% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for ADO Den Haag |
| Telstar 3–4 Feyenoord | 1.43–3.83 | 9% · 11% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II | 3.65–1.63 | 75% · 12% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| PEC Zwolle 4–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.81–2.76 | 24% · 18% · 58% | Won against the xG: PEC Zwolle |
| Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar | 1.53–1.56 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Groningen 2–5 Ajax | 2.29–3.04 | 29% · 17% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard | 3.06–0.45 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Draw against the xG: NEC Nijmegen had 88% |
| Twente 1–2 Utrecht | 1.36–1.25 | 39% · 26% · 34% | Close call, Utrecht won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.