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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.3 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães 4–0 AVS | 1.60–1.20 | 47% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Casa Pia 0–2 Alverca | 0.17–1.41 | 4% · 26% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Alverca |
| Moreirense 2–2 Famalicao | 1.19–1.82 | 25% · 23% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Famalicao had 52% |
| Nacional 1–2 Benfica | 0.50–2.68 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Gil Vicente 0–1 Tondela | 0.49–1.16 | 16% · 32% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Tondela |
| Rio Ave 1–1 Santa Clara | 1.76–1.05 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 54% |
| Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela | 2.65–0.11 | 91% · 8% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| FC Porto 1–0 Estoril | 1.41–1.11 | 44% · 27% · 30% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Arouca 0–4 SC Braga | 0.06–2.92 | 0% · 6% · 94% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.