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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.2 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica 1–1 Sporting CP | 1.37–0.50 | 59% · 28% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 59% |
| Santa Clara 1–0 Casa Pia | 1.77–0.31 | 74% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| AVS 1–2 Rio Ave | 1.52–2.44 | 23% · 19% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Famalicao 1–2 SC Braga | 1.50–2.78 | 19% · 17% · 64% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Estoril 3–3 Moreirense | 1.88–2.41 | 31% · 19% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Moreirense had 50% |
| Alverca 1–0 Nacional | 2.07–0.92 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Alverca |
| Estrela 3–1 Arouca | 3.27–0.48 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Tondela 0–2 FC Porto | 0.43–1.92 | 7% · 19% · 73% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Gil Vicente | 0.45–0.22 | 30% · 56% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.