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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 23.8 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia 1–1 Gil Vicente | 0.24–0.83 | 10% · 41% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rio Ave 0–1 Vitória Guimarães | 0.45–1.73 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Sporting CP 6–0 AVS | 2.79–0.67 | 81% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Famalicao 4–0 Estoril | 2.88–0.81 | 80% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Moreirense 0–4 Benfica | 0.42–0.86 | 17% · 39% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Arouca 1–0 Alverca | 1.69–0.21 | 75% · 21% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Nacional 3–1 Tondela | 2.35–3.28 | 27% · 16% · 57% | Won against the xG: Nacional |
| SC Braga 1–0 Santa Clara | 0.91–0.61 | 41% · 36% · 23% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| FC Porto 3–1 Estrela | 2.89–0.18 | 91% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.