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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 20.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril 1–0 SC Braga | 2.13–2.19 | 39% · 20% · 41% | Close call, Estoril won |
| Gil Vicente 2–2 Rio Ave | 1.25–0.27 | 62% · 30% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Gil Vicente had 62% |
| Estrela 0–0 Moreirense | 0.87–1.14 | 28% · 30% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| AVS 2–2 Nacional | 1.27–1.30 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Tondela 1–2 Casa Pia | 1.75–1.15 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Won against the xG: Casa Pia |
| Santa Clara 0–0 Arouca | 0.49–0.28 | 31% · 53% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alverca 0–3 FC Porto | 0.73–1.45 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Benfica 1–0 Famalicao | 1.12–0.20 | 60% · 33% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–4 Sporting CP | 0.73–2.58 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.