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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 25.4 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP 3–0 Casa Pia | 2.30–0.19 | 86% · 12% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional | 1.43–1.55 | 35% · 24% · 40% | Close call, Gil Vicente won |
| AVS 0–1 Arouca | 0.58–1.15 | 19% · 32% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Alverca 2–1 Moreirense | 2.41–1.41 | 60% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Alverca |
| Rio Ave 0–2 Benfica | 0.19–2.48 | 2% · 11% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Santa Clara 0–1 Famalicao | 1.09–1.34 | 30% · 27% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Tondela 0–1 SC Braga | 1.50–1.57 | 36% · 24% · 40% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–1 FC Porto | 1.46–2.29 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Estrela 0–5 Estoril | 0.22–2.29 | 3% · 13% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.