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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 23.4 xG (1.50 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia 3–3 AVS | 1.59–3.24 | 16% · 14% · 70% | Draw against the xG: AVS had 70% |
| Moreirense 1–0 Santa Clara | 0.15–0.21 | 11% · 72% · 17% | Close call, Moreirense won |
| Arouca 1–2 Sporting CP | 1.10–1.05 | 37% · 30% · 34% | Close call, Sporting CP won |
| Estoril 4–2 Vitória Guimarães | 2.08–2.04 | 41% · 20% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave | 1.53–0.47 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
| Benfica 4–0 Estrela | 2.40–0.29 | 84% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Famalicao 3–0 Tondela | 0.66–0.11 | 45% · 50% · 6% | Close call, Famalicao won |
| SC Braga 5–0 Alverca | 3.27–0.38 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| FC Porto 3–0 Gil Vicente | 2.29–0.55 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.