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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.3 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Moreirense | 1.51–0.77 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Santa Clara 2–4 Estoril | 2.20–2.32 | 38% · 19% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Rio Ave 0–3 Arouca | 0.69–1.47 | 17% · 27% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Alverca 1–1 Estrela | 0.89–0.88 | 34% · 33% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gil Vicente 5–0 Famalicao | 2.69–0.11 | 91% · 8% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Sporting CP 2–1 Nacional | 1.74–1.32 | 47% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Tondela 0–0 Benfica | 0.42–1.89 | 7% · 20% · 73% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 73% |
| AVS 0–4 SC Braga | 0.44–2.00 | 7% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Casa Pia 2–1 FC Porto | 0.97–2.02 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Won against the xG: Casa Pia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.