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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.5 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela 1–0 Santa Clara | 0.94–1.32 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Won against the xG: Estrela |
| Moreirense 1–2 Gil Vicente | 0.12–2.46 | 1% · 10% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Estoril 2–2 Tondela | 0.71–1.35 | 20% · 28% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Tondela had 52% |
| Arouca 3–2 Vitória Guimarães | 1.72–1.68 | 40% · 23% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia | 0.98–0.64 | 42% · 34% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Braga 3–0 Rio Ave | 2.74–0.13 | 91% · 8% · 1% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Benfica 2–1 Alverca | 1.82–1.14 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Famalicao 3–1 AVS | 2.18–0.49 | 77% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| FC Porto 1–1 Sporting CP | 0.77–1.29 | 22% · 29% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.