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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov 3–3 Dynamo | 2.52–1.29 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Krylia Sovetov had 64% |
| Ural 0–0 Nizhny Novgorod | 0.57–0.37 | 33% · 48% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Rostov 1–1 Zenit | 1.40–0.34 | 64% · 27% · 9% | Draw against the xG: FC Rostov had 64% |
| Rubin 1–1 FC Orenburg | 1.28–1.69 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fakel 1–4 Lokomotiv | 2.88–1.94 | 58% · 17% · 25% | Won against the xG: Lokomotiv |
| FC Krasnodar 2–0 FC Sochi | 2.27–0.43 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for FC Krasnodar |
| Akhmat 2–3 CSKA Moscow | 2.11–3.43 | 22% · 15% · 63% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Moscow |
| Spartak Moscow 2–1 Baltika | 1.84–0.89 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Spartak Moscow |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.