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8 of 8 matches with xG: 30 goals from 23.8 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod | 1.24–0.87 | 45% · 29% · 26% | Win in line with xG for FC Krasnodar |
| Krylia Sovetov 5–1 FC Rostov | 3.04–1.66 | 65% · 16% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Krylia Sovetov |
| Rubin 1–4 Spartak Moscow | 1.12–1.74 | 24% · 24% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Spartak Moscow |
| FC Orenburg 0–2 Ural | 1.06–1.76 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Ural |
| CSKA Moscow 4–1 Lokomotiv | 2.54–1.75 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Moscow |
| Baltika 2–1 Fakel | 0.56–0.90 | 22% · 36% · 42% | Won against the xG: Baltika |
| Zenit 2–3 Dynamo | 1.23–1.75 | 27% · 24% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo |
| FC Sochi 1–2 Akhmat | 2.14–0.47 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Won against the xG: Akhmat |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.