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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 25.4 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha 0–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0.32–3.93 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al Riyadh 0–4 Al-Nassr | 0.59–2.02 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Hazm 0–1 Al Diriyah | 0.26–1.35 | 7% · 28% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Al Diriyah |
| Al-Faisaly FC 0–2 NEOM | 0.60–1.30 | 17% · 29% · 54% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 0–1 Al-Ittihad FC | 2.61–0.28 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Won against the xG: Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al-Fateh 0–1 Al-Ettifaq | 1.07–1.99 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ettifaq |
| Al Kholood 3–2 Al Taawon | 1.84–1.54 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Al Kholood |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–0 Abha | 2.77–1.27 | 69% · 16% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 0–0 Al Shabab | 0.55–1.14 | 18% · 32% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Al Shabab had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.