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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.8 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM 0–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1.26–2.09 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Ittihad FC 3–2 Al-Hazm | 3.90–0.79 | 90% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Abha 1–1 Al Khaleej Saihat | 0.97–0.97 | 34% · 31% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Taawon 0–0 Al-Fayha | 2.61–0.83 | 75% · 15% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Al Taawon had 75% |
| Al-Ettifaq 2–3 Al-Nassr | 0.72–2.00 | 12% · 20% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al Shabab 3–3 Al Riyadh | 2.87–1.21 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Al Shabab had 72% |
| Al-Faisaly FC 1–1 Al-Fateh | 1.39–1.72 | 31% · 23% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Diriyah 1–1 Al Kholood | 0.56–1.41 | 15% · 27% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Al Kholood had 58% |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2.16–1.35 | 56% · 21% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.