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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.2 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh 1–0 NEOM | 0.81–0.88 | 31% · 34% · 35% | Close call, Al Riyadh won |
| Al-Fayha 3–2 Abha | 1.93–1.49 | 48% · 22% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fayha |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 1–5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1.45–3.94 | 9% · 10% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Nassr 2–1 Al Taawon | 2.00–0.80 | 65% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al Kholood 3–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.15–2.28 | 18% · 19% · 63% | Won against the xG: Al Kholood |
| Al-Ettifaq 0–3 Al Diriyah | 1.35–2.33 | 21% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Al Diriyah |
| Al-Fateh 0–0 Al-Ittihad FC | 0.99–2.10 | 17% · 20% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Al-Ittihad FC had 63% |
| Al-Hazm 1–1 Al Shabab | 1.02–1.54 | 25% · 26% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 3–1 Al-Faisaly FC | 2.46–0.71 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.