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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 25.1 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha 2–2 Al Kholood | 0.86–2.12 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Al Kholood had 66% |
| NEOM 3–0 Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.33–0.22 | 66% · 28% · 6% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al Diriyah 0–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1.01–1.17 | 31% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Abha 0–1 Al-Ettifaq | 0.51–1.09 | 17% · 33% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ettifaq |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 5–0 Al Riyadh | 3.46–0.79 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al Shabab 0–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0.77–4.04 | 3% · 6% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Faisaly FC 0–0 Al-Hazm | 0.87–1.10 | 29% · 31% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Taawon 0–0 Al-Fateh | 1.33–0.97 | 45% · 28% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al-Nassr | 1.84–1.65 | 43% · 22% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.