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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.6 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej Saihat 0–0 Al Riyadh | 0.50–0.32 | 31% · 51% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–2 NEOM | 1.81–1.35 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Won against the xG: NEOM |
| Al-Ettifaq 0–0 Al-Faisaly FC | 0.72–0.11 | 48% · 47% · 5% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Hazm 1–0 Al Taawon | 0.98–0.77 | 39% · 33% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hazm |
| Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al-Fayha | 2.42–0.62 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 3–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2.55–1.26 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al Kholood 2–1 Al Shabab | 2.19–0.62 | 73% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Al Kholood |
| Al-Fateh 1–2 Al Diriyah | 1.28–2.53 | 18% · 18% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Al Diriyah |
| Al-Nassr 2–1 Abha | 1.34–0.26 | 65% · 28% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.