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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 30.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 3–3 Al-Ettifaq | 2.53–0.85 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Al-Qadisiyah FC had 74% |
| Al-Faisaly FC 1–3 Al-Ittihad FC | 1.11–1.29 | 32% · 28% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Hazm | 5.78–1.78 | 90% · 5% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al Taawon 0–6 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1.32–5.41 | 3% · 5% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 1–1 Al-Nassr | 0.38–1.08 | 13% · 34% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Al-Nassr had 53% |
| Al Shabab 0–0 Al-Fayha | 1.09–0.54 | 49% · 33% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| NEOM 4–2 Al-Fateh | 2.32–1.26 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al Diriyah 0–0 Abha | 1.35–0.68 | 53% · 28% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Al Diriyah had 53% |
| Al Riyadh 2–0 Al Kholood | 1.06–0.69 | 44% · 33% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Al Riyadh |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.