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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 33.4 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kholood 0–5 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.40–5.48 | 10% · 8% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Fateh 0–4 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.45–2.54 | 5% · 13% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Nassr 3–0 Al Diriyah | 3.26–0.77 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Hazm 1–1 NEOM | 0.66–1.87 | 12% · 21% · 66% | Draw against the xG: NEOM had 66% |
| Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al Khaleej Saihat | 2.02–2.67 | 29% · 18% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Al Khaleej Saihat had 52% |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–2 Al-Ittihad FC | 2.26–1.14 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Fayha 1–1 Al Riyadh | 0.61–1.50 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Al Riyadh had 59% |
| Al Shabab 3–0 Al Taawon | 2.34–0.90 | 70% · 18% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Al Shabab |
| Abha 0–1 Al-Faisaly FC | 1.52–1.01 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Won against the xG: Al-Faisaly FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.