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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 27.5 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna 2–0 Granada CF | 2.14–0.65 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Real Sociedad 1–0 Mallorca | 1.35–1.95 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Won against the xG: Real Sociedad |
| Getafe 1–1 Real Betis | 1.49–1.16 | 45% · 26% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sevilla 1–1 Real Madrid | 1.35–2.13 | 24% · 21% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Real Madrid had 55% |
| Celta Vigo 0–3 Atletico Madrid | 0.76–1.84 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Las Palmas 0–1 Rayo Vallecano | 1.33–1.35 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Girona 5–2 Almeria | 1.88–0.99 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Villarreal 1–1 Alaves | 1.53–1.66 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Barcelona 1–0 Athletic Club | 1.45–0.50 | 61% · 27% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Valencia 2–0 Cadiz | 1.44–0.54 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.