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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 21.6 xG (1.39 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona 1–0 Celta Vigo | 0.58–0.18 | 39% · 52% · 10% | Close call, Girona won |
| Almeria 1–2 Las Palmas | 0.24–0.74 | 11% · 44% · 44% | Close call, Las Palmas won |
| Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid | 1.55–1.07 | 48% · 25% · 26% | Won against the xG: Real Madrid |
| Mallorca 0–0 Getafe | 0.90–0.23 | 51% · 39% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Mallorca had 51% |
| Cadiz 2–2 Sevilla | 1.09–1.38 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Betis 2–1 Osasuna | 1.23–0.40 | 57% · 30% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Real Sociedad | 0.95–1.91 | 18% · 22% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Real Sociedad had 60% |
| Athletic Club 2–2 Valencia | 1.86–1.86 | 39% · 22% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Madrid 2–1 Alaves | 1.35–0.47 | 59% · 28% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Granada CF 2–3 Villarreal | 2.27–1.39 | 57% · 20% · 23% | Won against the xG: Villarreal |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.