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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.6 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas 2–1 Atletico Madrid | 0.41–1.24 | 12% · 30% · 57% | Won against the xG: Las Palmas |
| Osasuna 2–4 Girona | 1.42–2.23 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Real Betis 2–0 Mallorca | 2.26–0.62 | 75% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Sevilla | 2.10–0.89 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 65% |
| Real Sociedad 0–1 Barcelona | 0.95–1.23 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Alaves 1–0 Almeria | 2.44–0.63 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Valencia 1–0 Granada CF | 1.43–0.32 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Villarreal 2–3 Athletic Club | 2.14–2.21 | 39% · 20% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Real Madrid 0–0 Rayo Vallecano | 2.21–0.10 | 87% · 12% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Real Madrid had 87% |
| Getafe 1–0 Cadiz | 1.19–0.54 | 52% · 31% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.