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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 36.6 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club 4–3 Celta Vigo | 4.60–2.24 | 76% · 11% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Girona | 1.75–4.59 | 9% · 9% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Almeria 1–3 Real Sociedad | 0.44–2.41 | 5% · 14% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Granada CF 1–1 Getafe | 1.69–2.27 | 29% · 20% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Getafe had 51% |
| Osasuna 1–1 Las Palmas | 0.97–0.45 | 47% · 36% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Madrid 5–1 Valencia | 1.75–1.71 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Barcelona 2–1 Alaves | 1.56–1.69 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Close call, Barcelona won |
| Sevilla 1–1 Real Betis | 0.68–1.79 | 14% · 22% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 64% |
| Atletico Madrid 3–1 Villarreal | 3.79–0.87 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Mallorca 1–1 Cadiz | 1.07–0.31 | 55% · 34% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Mallorca had 55% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.