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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.9 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna 1–1 Mallorca | 0.37–0.97 | 14% · 36% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Madrid 5–0 Alaves | 2.52–1.28 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Girona 0–1 Villarreal | 1.71–0.62 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Won against the xG: Villarreal |
| Sevilla 0–1 Cadiz | 1.30–2.51 | 18% · 18% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Cadiz |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Granada CF | 2.57–0.93 | 73% · 16% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Celta Vigo 2–1 Athletic Club | 0.77–0.22 | 46% · 44% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Getafe 0–3 Atletico Madrid | 0.62–1.30 | 18% · 29% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Las Palmas 2–2 Real Betis | 2.33–1.27 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Las Palmas had 61% |
| Almeria 0–2 Barcelona | 0.92–1.57 | 22% · 25% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Real Sociedad 1–0 Valencia | 1.28–0.84 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.