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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.0 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla 5–1 Almeria | 2.22–1.78 | 48% · 20% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Mallorca 2–2 Barcelona | 0.79–1.89 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Barcelona had 63% |
| Athletic Club 2–2 Getafe | 0.74–1.36 | 20% · 28% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Getafe had 52% |
| Villarreal 1–2 Girona | 1.91–2.15 | 35% · 20% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Real Madrid 2–0 Las Palmas | 1.76–0.72 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Cadiz 0–0 Rayo Vallecano | 0.59–0.26 | 37% · 50% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valencia 0–1 Real Sociedad | 0.37–0.18 | 27% · 62% · 12% | Close call, Real Sociedad won |
| Granada CF 1–1 Real Betis | 1.78–0.88 | 59% · 23% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Granada CF had 59% |
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Alaves | 0.56–2.70 | 5% · 12% · 82% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 82% |
| Osasuna 0–2 Atletico Madrid | 0.94–1.44 | 25% · 27% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.