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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 27.5 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna | 2.16–0.66 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Won against the xG: Osasuna |
| Barcelona 3–0 Mallorca | 2.63–0.80 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Real Sociedad 3–1 Elche | 2.63–1.27 | 66% · 17% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Alaves 0–2 Getafe | 2.02–1.91 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Close call, Getafe won |
| Athletic Club 4–2 Levante | 2.08–0.51 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Sevilla 1–1 Girona | 0.78–2.56 | 9% · 15% · 76% | Draw against the xG: Girona had 76% |
| Atletico Madrid 0–1 Real Betis | 0.67–0.70 | 30% · 39% · 32% | Close call, Real Betis won |
| Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid | 0.44–0.96 | 16% · 36% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Villarreal 4–1 Espanyol | 0.76–0.43 | 40% · 41% · 19% | Close call, Villarreal won |
| Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Oviedo | 2.51–0.99 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.