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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche 0–0 Osasuna | 1.70–0.77 | 60% · 24% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Elche had 60% |
| Espanyol 2–2 Celta Vigo | 0.77–2.36 | 10% · 17% · 73% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 73% |
| Getafe 2–1 Villarreal | 1.48–0.60 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Sevilla 1–1 Alaves | 0.27–1.13 | 9% · 33% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 58% |
| Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad | 3.12–1.73 | 65% · 16% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Oviedo 1–2 Athletic Club | 0.34–1.29 | 10% · 29% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atletico Madrid | 1.61–0.70 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Levante 0–2 Valencia | 0.63–0.68 | 29% · 40% · 32% | Close call, Valencia won |
| Mallorca 1–2 Real Betis | 1.01–2.12 | 17% · 20% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Girona 2–1 Barcelona | 2.86–2.72 | 44% · 17% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.