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15 of 15 matches with xG: 45 goals from 41.0 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City SC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.65–0.82 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
| Nashville SC 2–2 New York City FC | 1.33–1.12 | 41% · 27% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Cincinnati 1–2 DC United | 0.66–0.90 | 25% · 35% · 39% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| Inter Miami 5–1 Columbus Crew | 2.03–0.73 | 68% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| CF Montreal 0–3 New England Revolution | 0.98–1.04 | 33% · 31% · 36% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FC | 0.83–1.12 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Won against the xG: New York Red Bulls |
| Orlando City SC 1–3 Chicago Fire | 1.65–1.14 | 49% · 24% · 26% | Won against the xG: Chicago Fire |
| Toronto FC 0–2 Charlotte | 0.53–2.71 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| FC Dallas 0–0 Philadelphia Union | 0.55–1.93 | 10% · 20% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Philadelphia Union had 70% |
| Houston Dynamo 1–3 Sporting Kansas City | 2.96–1.12 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Won against the xG: Sporting Kansas City |
| LA Galaxy 2–0 Real Salt Lake | 1.43–1.46 | 37% · 25% · 38% | Close call, LA Galaxy won |
| San Diego 2–0 Austin | 1.81–0.25 | 76% · 19% · 4% | Win in line with xG for San Diego |
| Seattle Sounders 2–3 Minnesota United FC | 0.85–2.53 | 10% · 16% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| LAFC 3–0 Colorado Rapids | 3.18–0.47 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 Portland Timbers | 2.18–1.02 | 64% · 20% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Vancouver Whitecaps had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.