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18 of 18 matches with xG: 61 goals from 56.3 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United 1–7 Chicago Fire | 1.43–2.49 | 21% · 18% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Colorado Rapids 0–2 Austin | 2.33–2.01 | 46% · 20% · 34% | Close call, Austin won |
| Portland Timbers 2–1 St. Louis City SC | 1.72–2.57 | 25% · 19% · 56% | Won against the xG: Portland Timbers |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Seattle Sounders | 1.94–0.59 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| New York City FC 4–0 Atlanta United FC | 1.34–0.61 | 55% · 28% · 17% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Portland Timbers 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 0.83–2.21 | 13% · 19% · 69% | Draw against the xG: San Jose Earthquakes had 69% |
| St. Louis City SC 3–3 LA Galaxy | 2.25–2.73 | 33% · 18% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Columbus Crew 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.22–0.75 | 47% · 30% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New England Revolution 0–1 FC Cincinnati | 0.39–1.27 | 11% · 30% · 59% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Philadelphia Union 2–1 Charlotte | 1.55–0.67 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| Austin 2–1 New York Red Bulls | 1.25–1.09 | 40% · 28% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Chicago Fire 0–2 Nashville SC | 1.67–1.16 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Won against the xG: Nashville SC |
| Houston Dynamo 1–3 CF Montreal | 2.65–1.54 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Won against the xG: CF Montreal |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–4 FC Dallas | 0.90–4.02 | 4% · 7% · 89% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Minnesota United FC 2–4 San Diego | 1.23–2.52 | 17% · 18% · 65% | Win in line with xG for San Diego |
| Colorado Rapids 0–1 Orlando City SC | 0.74–0.31 | 42% · 43% · 14% | Won against the xG: Orlando City SC |
| Real Salt Lake 2–0 DC United | 1.86–0.48 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| LAFC 2–0 Toronto FC | 3.39–0.61 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.