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15 of 15 matches with xG: 61 goals from 47.9 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew 3–1 Atlanta United FC | 3.26–1.94 | 64% · 15% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| CF Montreal 1–3 FC Cincinnati | 1.01–1.40 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| New England Revolution 2–3 Nashville SC | 1.33–2.47 | 19% · 18% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls | 1.04–1.33 | 29% · 27% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chicago Fire 0–1 Philadelphia Union | 1.01–1.26 | 30% · 28% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| FC Dallas 2–4 San Jose Earthquakes | 0.90–2.66 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Charlotte | 2.30–2.60 | 36% · 18% · 46% | Close call, Sporting Kansas City won |
| Minnesota United FC 3–1 Houston Dynamo | 1.36–1.14 | 42% · 27% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| St. Louis City SC 2–4 Orlando City SC | 1.72–2.48 | 26% · 19% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Colorado Rapids 2–0 LA Galaxy | 0.71–0.62 | 33% · 39% · 28% | Close call, Colorado Rapids won |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 3–5 San Diego | 1.08–1.49 | 27% · 26% · 47% | Win in line with xG for San Diego |
| CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC | 1.27–0.83 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| New England Revolution 3–3 Colorado Rapids | 2.21–0.81 | 69% · 18% · 12% | Draw against the xG: New England Revolution had 69% |
| New York Red Bulls 2–2 Minnesota United FC | 1.48–0.81 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Draw against the xG: New York Red Bulls had 53% |
| Real Salt Lake 1–4 LAFC | 3.02–2.36 | 52% · 17% · 31% | Close call, LAFC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.