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MLS 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 25

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Matches

Matchday 25 in xG

15 of 15 matches with xG: 45 goals from 44.2 xG (1.02 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Columbus Crew 1–3 Orlando City SC2.22–2.5335% · 19% · 46%Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC
New England Revolution 1–3 CF Montreal1.37–1.0045% · 27% · 27%Won against the xG: CF Montreal
FC Dallas 3–4 New York City FC1.65–1.2846% · 24% · 30%Won against the xG: New York City FC
LAFC 0–1 Portland Timbers1.10–0.3854% · 33% · 13%Won against the xG: Portland Timbers
San Diego 1–0 Nashville SC1.47–0.4563% · 26% · 11%Win in line with xG for San Diego
Inter Miami 0–0 FC Cincinnati1.40–1.0246% · 27% · 27%Draw in line with xG
Atlanta United FC 2–2 Seattle Sounders0.69–0.7729% · 37% · 34%Draw in line with xG
Charlotte 2–0 Toronto FC2.23–0.7771% · 18% · 11%Win in line with xG for Charlotte
DC United 2–4 Austin1.77–1.9136% · 22% · 42%Win in line with xG for Austin
Philadelphia Union 3–1 Colorado Rapids4.00–0.5893% · 5% · 2%Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire 1–0 New York Red Bulls2.17–0.3879% · 16% · 5%Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire
St. Louis City SC 1–2 Minnesota United FC1.70–1.9035% · 22% · 43%Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes1.16–1.3033% · 27% · 40%Close call, Real Salt Lake won
Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas City2.53–2.0350% · 19% · 32%Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo 1–1 LA Galaxy0.99–1.4526% · 27% · 48%Draw in line with xG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 24 · Matchday 26

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