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MLS 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 26

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Matches

Matchday 26 in xG

15 of 15 matches with xG: 46 goals from 48.5 xG (0.95 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
CF Montreal 1–1 Atlanta United FC0.76–2.688% · 14% · 78%Draw against the xG: Atlanta United FC had 78%
New England Revolution 2–0 DC United1.16–0.9341% · 30% · 29%Win in line with xG for New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC1.56–1.5439% · 24% · 38%Draw in line with xG
Austin 2–2 Houston Dynamo1.56–1.9531% · 22% · 47%Draw in line with xG
Chicago Fire 2–2 LAFC0.54–1.8210% · 21% · 68%Draw against the xG: LAFC had 68%
FC Dallas 2–0 Portland Timbers1.46–0.3366% · 26% · 8%Win in line with xG for FC Dallas
St. Louis City SC 3–1 Nashville SC2.31–2.2142% · 19% · 39%Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC
Sporting Kansas City 0–2 San Diego1.91–0.8961% · 22% · 17%Won against the xG: San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps2.63–0.8775% · 15% · 10%Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati 0–1 Charlotte1.70–0.5665% · 23% · 12%Won against the xG: Charlotte
Minnesota United FC 1–2 Colorado Rapids2.19–1.8247% · 20% · 33%Close call, Colorado Rapids won
New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake3.76–1.1783% · 10% · 7%Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC 4–1 Inter Miami2.30–0.6176% · 16% · 8%Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC
LA Galaxy 0–4 Seattle Sounders0.45–3.472% · 7% · 91%Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders
New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew2.05–1.2855% · 21% · 24%Win in line with xG for New York City FC

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 25 · Matchday 27

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