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15 of 15 matches with xG: 41 goals from 40.6 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 1–0 Real Salt Lake | 1.22–0.92 | 43% · 29% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| Inter Miami 3–1 LA Galaxy | 3.49–0.37 | 93% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| CF Montreal 1–1 DC United | 0.49–2.21 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Draw against the xG: DC United had 77% |
| New England Revolution 0–2 LAFC | 0.52–1.43 | 13% · 27% · 60% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union | 0.31–1.37 | 8% · 27% · 64% | Won against the xG: New York Red Bulls |
| Orlando City SC 3–1 Sporting Kansas City | 3.05–2.59 | 49% · 17% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew | 1.02–1.47 | 26% · 26% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Austin 1–1 FC Dallas | 0.92–0.32 | 49% · 38% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chicago Fire 3–2 St. Louis City SC | 1.41–1.07 | 45% · 27% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Minnesota United FC 1–0 Seattle Sounders | 0.70–1.40 | 19% · 28% · 54% | Won against the xG: Minnesota United FC |
| Colorado Rapids 3–1 Atlanta United FC | 1.46–0.91 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| Portland Timbers 2–3 FC Cincinnati | 2.54–1.33 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Won against the xG: FC Cincinnati |
| New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC | 1.37–1.29 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 San Diego | 1.44–0.66 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Won against the xG: San Diego |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 Houston Dynamo | 2.54–0.79 | 75% · 15% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Vancouver Whitecaps had 75% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.