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18 of 18 matches with xG: 55 goals from 56.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union | 1.18–2.38 | 17% · 19% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| New England Revolution 1–2 Charlotte | 2.08–1.36 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Won against the xG: Charlotte |
| New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew | 0.66–0.66 | 30% · 40% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| New York City FC 1–2 DC United | 0.53–0.80 | 22% · 39% · 39% | Close call, DC United won |
| Toronto FC 1–1 CF Montreal | 1.28–1.33 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Austin 3–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.46–1.67 | 34% · 24% · 43% | Close call, Austin won |
| Sporting Kansas City 4–2 Colorado Rapids | 2.04–3.67 | 18% · 14% · 68% | Won against the xG: Sporting Kansas City |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 Portland Timbers | 1.45–1.55 | 36% · 24% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nashville SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC | 1.78–0.76 | 62% · 23% · 16% | Won against the xG: Atlanta United FC |
| St. Louis City SC 2–3 Houston Dynamo | 1.61–1.29 | 45% · 24% · 31% | Close call, Houston Dynamo won |
| LAFC 1–2 San Diego | 1.47–0.93 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Won against the xG: San Diego |
| Chicago Fire 3–2 New England Revolution | 1.98–2.57 | 30% · 19% · 51% | Close call, Chicago Fire won |
| St. Louis City SC 1–1 FC Dallas | 3.46–0.36 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Draw against the xG: St. Louis City SC had 92% |
| Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Austin | 2.04–1.16 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Won against the xG: Austin |
| Inter Miami 3–5 Chicago Fire | 2.36–2.41 | 40% · 19% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Orlando City SC 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.94–2.43 | 13% · 17% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Seattle Sounders 1–0 Real Salt Lake | 2.33–0.58 | 77% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| LA Galaxy 2–1 FC Dallas | 1.52–0.67 | 58% · 26% · 16% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.