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MLS 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 30

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Matches

Matchday 30 in xG

15 of 15 matches with xG: 57 goals from 52.8 xG (1.08 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Atlanta United FC 4–5 Columbus Crew3.78–1.2083% · 10% · 7%Won against the xG: Columbus Crew
Charlotte 3–0 Inter Miami2.59–1.9552% · 19% · 29%Win in line with xG for Charlotte
FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC2.34–1.6853% · 20% · 28%Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati
DC United 1–1 Orlando City SC0.51–1.6011% · 24% · 64%Draw against the xG: Orlando City SC had 64%
CF Montreal 0–2 St. Louis City SC1.41–1.2142% · 26% · 32%Close call, St. Louis City SC won
New England Revolution 1–1 Toronto FC0.61–0.8624% · 37% · 39%Draw in line with xG
San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 LAFC1.40–2.3222% · 20% · 58%Win in line with xG for LAFC
Chicago Fire 1–3 New York City FC1.20–1.5829% · 25% · 46%Win in line with xG for New York City FC
FC Dallas 2–0 Austin1.81–0.6765% · 22% · 13%Win in line with xG for FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders 2–2 LA Galaxy3.47–1.7770% · 14% · 16%Draw against the xG: Seattle Sounders had 70%
Colorado Rapids 2–1 Houston Dynamo1.90–2.1435% · 20% · 44%Close call, Colorado Rapids won
Real Salt Lake 2–1 Sporting Kansas City1.46–0.8551% · 27% · 22%Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps 7–0 Philadelphia Union5.46–0.9096% · 3% · 1%Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls2.39–1.1166% · 18% · 16%Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers
San Diego 1–3 Minnesota United FC2.16–0.5076% · 17% · 7%Won against the xG: Minnesota United FC

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 29 · Matchday 31

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