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15 of 15 matches with xG: 51 goals from 48.8 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC 1–1 Inter Miami | 1.44–1.54 | 36% · 24% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charlotte 1–4 CF Montreal | 0.74–2.57 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| DC United 0–6 Philadelphia Union | 1.60–2.30 | 27% · 20% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| New England Revolution 2–0 Atlanta United FC | 1.45–0.81 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC | 1.24–2.83 | 14% · 16% · 70% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Chicago Fire 2–0 Columbus Crew | 2.38–0.47 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Nashville SC 3–1 Houston Dynamo | 2.33–0.65 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| St. Louis City SC 0–3 LAFC | 0.56–2.06 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Colorado Rapids 1–1 Minnesota United FC | 1.27–0.70 | 50% · 29% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Colorado Rapids had 50% |
| Real Salt Lake 3–1 Austin | 1.16–0.44 | 54% · 32% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| LA Galaxy 4–1 Sporting Kansas City | 3.85–1.56 | 78% · 11% · 11% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas | 1.88–2.75 | 26% · 18% · 56% | Draw against the xG: FC Dallas had 56% |
| Seattle Sounders 2–2 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.23–0.76 | 47% · 30% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| San Diego 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.35–0.97 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Won against the xG: San Jose Earthquakes |
| FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC | 1.54–3.41 | 14% · 13% · 73% | Draw against the xG: Orlando City SC had 73% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.