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14 of 14 matches with xG: 38 goals from 40.0 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC | 0.86–2.20 | 13% · 19% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Atlanta United FC had 68% |
| Minnesota United FC 2–2 LA Galaxy | 3.07–0.70 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Minnesota United FC had 84% |
| Charlotte 4–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.83–2.70 | 43% · 17% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| Columbus Crew 0–0 New York City FC | 1.48–0.16 | 72% · 24% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Columbus Crew had 72% |
| New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC | 1.80–0.29 | 75% · 20% · 5% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United | 2.82–1.30 | 69% · 16% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Philadelphia Union 1–0 St. Louis City SC | 1.34–0.16 | 68% · 27% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| Sporting Kansas City 0–2 LAFC | 0.83–1.74 | 18% · 23% · 59% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Nashville SC 3–0 CF Montreal | 1.70–0.42 | 69% · 22% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Colorado Rapids 0–3 Portland Timbers | 0.55–1.96 | 9% · 20% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| Real Salt Lake 0–1 FC Dallas | 0.89–2.19 | 14% · 19% · 67% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Seattle Sounders 0–0 Houston Dynamo | 0.98–0.33 | 51% · 36% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Seattle Sounders had 51% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 Chicago Fire | 1.21–2.22 | 20% · 20% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Austin 2–1 San Diego | 2.15–1.11 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.