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15 of 15 matches with xG: 34 goals from 41.0 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 2–1 Nashville SC | 1.86–1.32 | 50% · 23% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| Real Salt Lake 2–0 LA Galaxy | 1.45–0.29 | 67% · 26% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Atlanta United FC 1–1 FC Dallas | 1.66–0.67 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Atlanta United FC had 61% |
| FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution | 2.00–0.51 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Columbus Crew 2–1 CF Montreal | 1.56–0.49 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New York Red Bulls 2–1 Chicago Fire | 1.36–1.86 | 28% · 23% · 49% | Won against the xG: New York Red Bulls |
| Philadelphia Union 0–0 Orlando City SC | 1.49–0.83 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Philadelphia Union had 53% |
| Austin 0–0 Portland Timbers | 1.10–0.45 | 52% · 33% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Austin had 52% |
| Houston Dynamo 1–0 LAFC | 0.57–0.69 | 26% · 41% · 33% | Close call, Houston Dynamo won |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–0 St. Louis City SC | 1.29–1.10 | 41% · 28% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 2–0 Colorado Rapids | 1.84–0.41 | 72% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| San Diego 3–0 Seattle Sounders | 1.44–1.14 | 44% · 26% · 30% | Win in line with xG for San Diego |
| New York City FC 1–2 Minnesota United FC | 2.69–1.95 | 54% · 18% · 28% | Won against the xG: Minnesota United FC |
| San Jose Earthquakes 6–1 DC United | 3.39–1.62 | 71% · 14% · 15% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Inter Miami 1–1 Toronto FC | 2.59–1.40 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Inter Miami had 63% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.