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15 of 15 matches with xG: 33 goals from 45.4 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC 0–0 Minnesota United FC | 0.58–0.83 | 24% · 38% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atlanta United FC 0–1 New England Revolution | 2.17–1.69 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Close call, New England Revolution won |
| Orlando City SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls | 1.49–0.53 | 61% · 26% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Orlando City SC had 61% |
| DC United 0–1 FC Cincinnati | 0.86–0.75 | 36% · 35% · 29% | Close call, FC Cincinnati won |
| New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union | 1.30–1.27 | 37% · 27% · 36% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 5–1 Austin | 4.76–0.88 | 93% · 4% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| CF Montreal 0–1 Charlotte | 1.77–0.57 | 67% · 22% · 11% | Won against the xG: Charlotte |
| FC Dallas 0–1 Seattle Sounders | 0.42–1.47 | 10% · 26% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Nashville SC 2–1 Real Salt Lake | 3.16–0.87 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Colorado Rapids 3–2 San Diego | 3.41–1.35 | 76% · 12% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| LA Galaxy 1–1 Houston Dynamo | 0.40–1.89 | 7% · 19% · 74% | Draw against the xG: Houston Dynamo had 74% |
| LAFC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.49–2.12 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Won against the xG: LAFC |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–4 Portland Timbers | 2.17–1.00 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Won against the xG: Portland Timbers |
| Chicago Fire 0–0 Inter Miami | 1.23–0.97 | 42% · 29% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 1–2 Columbus Crew | 2.06–1.98 | 41% · 21% · 38% | Close call, Columbus Crew won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.