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15 of 15 matches with xG: 40 goals from 46.0 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 1–0 LA Galaxy | 3.14–0.90 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Columbus Crew 0–1 Inter Miami | 2.94–0.86 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Won against the xG: Inter Miami |
| CF Montreal 0–0 Orlando City SC | 0.89–0.31 | 49% · 39% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| New England Revolution 2–0 New York City FC | 1.37–0.89 | 48% · 28% · 24% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| New York Red Bulls 1–2 DC United | 1.16–0.84 | 43% · 30% · 27% | Won against the xG: DC United |
| Philadelphia Union 3–0 Atlanta United FC | 1.34–0.81 | 49% · 28% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| Seattle Sounders 3–0 Nashville SC | 2.38–0.92 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Charlotte 3–0 San Diego | 3.86–0.38 | 94% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| Chicago Fire 2–3 FC Cincinnati | 2.34–1.05 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Won against the xG: FC Cincinnati |
| Houston Dynamo 2–2 Colorado Rapids | 0.91–2.84 | 9% · 14% · 77% | Draw against the xG: Colorado Rapids had 77% |
| Minnesota United FC 0–0 FC Dallas | 0.78–0.92 | 29% · 34% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.00–1.13 | 32% · 30% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Salt Lake 0–1 Toronto FC | 0.92–0.22 | 53% · 39% · 9% | Won against the xG: Toronto FC |
| Portland Timbers 3–3 LAFC | 2.27–2.70 | 33% · 18% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| San Jose Earthquakes 3–5 Sporting Kansas City | 4.18–1.76 | 79% · 11% · 11% | Won against the xG: Sporting Kansas City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.